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Abstract This study evaluates a popular density current propagation speed equation using a large, novel set of radiosonde and dropsonde observations. Data from pairs of sondes launched inside and outside of cold pools along with the theoretical density current propagation speed equation are used to calculate sonde-based propagation speeds. Radar-/satellite-based propagation speeds, assumed to be the truth, are calculated by manually tracking the propagation of cold pools and correcting for advection due to the background wind. Several results arise from the comparisons of the theoretical sonde-based speeds with the radar-/satellite-based speeds. First, sonde-based and radar-based propagation speeds are strongly correlated for U.S. High Plains cold pools, suggesting the density current propagation speed equation is appropriate for use in midlatitude continental environments. Second, cold pool Froude numbers found in this study are in agreement with previous studies. Third, sonde-based propagation speeds are insensitive to how cold pool depth is defined since the preponderance of negative buoyancy is near the surface in cold pools. Fourth, assuming an infinite channel depth and assuming an incompressible atmosphere when deriving the density current propagation speed equation can increase sonde-based propagation speeds by up to 20% and 11%, respectively. Finally, sonde-based propagation speeds can vary by ∼300% based on where and when the sondes were launched, suggesting submesoscale variability could be a major influence on cold pool propagation.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available August 1, 2026
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Abstract Vertical velocities and microphysical processes within deep convection are intricately linked, having wide-ranging impacts on water and mass vertical transport, severe weather, extreme precipitation, and the global circulation. The goal of this research is to investigate the functional form of the relationship between vertical velocity (w) and microphysical processes that convert water vapor into condensed water (M) in deep convection. We examine an ensemble of high-resolution simulations spanning a range of tropical and midlatitude environments, a variety of convective organizational modes, and different model platforms and microphysics schemes. The results demonstrate that the relationship betweenwandMis robustly linear, with the slope of the linear fit being primarily a function of temperature and secondarily a function of supersaturation. TheR2of the linear fit is generally above 0.6 except near the freezing and homogeneous freezing levels. The linear fit is examined both as a function of local in-cloud temperature and environmental temperature. The results for in-cloud temperature are more consistent across the simulation suite, although environmental temperatures are more useful when considering potential observational applications. The linear relationship betweenwandMis substituted into the condensate tendency equation and rearranged to form a diagnostic equation forw. The performance of the diagnostic equation is tested in several simulations, and it is found to diagnose the storm-scale updraft speeds to within 1 m s−1throughout the upper half of the clouds. Potential applications of the linear relationship betweenwandMand the diagnosticwequation are discussed.more » « less
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Abstract The intensity of deep convective storms is driven in part by the strength of their updrafts and cold pools. In spite of the importance of these storm features, they can be poorly represented within numerical models. This has been attributed to model parameterizations, grid resolution, and the lack of appropriate observations with which to evaluate such simulations. The overarching goal of the Colorado State University Convective CLoud Outflows and UpDrafts Experiment (C 3 LOUD-Ex) was to enhance our understanding of deep convective storm processes and their representation within numerical models. To address this goal, a field campaign was conducted during July 2016 and May–June 2017 over northeastern Colorado, southeastern Wyoming, and southwestern Nebraska. Pivotal to the experiment was a novel “Flying Curtain” strategy designed around simultaneously employing a fleet of uncrewed aerial systems (UAS; or drones), high-frequency radiosonde launches, and surface observations to obtain detailed measurements of the spatial and temporal heterogeneities of cold pools. Updraft velocities were observed using targeted radiosondes and radars. Extensive datasets were successfully collected for 16 cold pool–focused and seven updraft-focused case studies. The updraft characteristics for all seven supercell updraft cases are compared and provide a useful database for model evaluation. An overview of the 16 cold pools’ characteristics is presented, and an in-depth analysis of one of the cold pool cases suggests that spatial variations in cold pool properties occur on spatial scales from O (100) m through to O (1) km. Processes responsible for the cold pool observations are explored and support recent high-resolution modeling results.more » « less
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Abstract Observations of the air vertical velocities ( w air ) in supercell updrafts are presented, including uncertainty estimates, from radiosonde GPS measurements in two supercells. These in situ observations were collected during the Colorado State University Convective Cloud Outflows and Updrafts Experiment (C 3 LOUD-Ex) in moderately unstable environments in Colorado and Wyoming. Based on the radiosonde accelerations, instances when the radiosonde balloon likely bursts within the updraft are determined, and adjustments are made to account for the subsequent reduction in radiosonde buoyancy. Before and after these adjustments, the maximum estimated w air values are 36.2 and 49.9 m s −1 , respectively. Radar data are used to contextualize the in situ observations and suggest that most of the radiosonde observations were located several kilometers away from the most intense vertical motions. Therefore, the radiosonde-based w air values presented likely underestimate the maximum values within these storms due to these sampling biases, as well as the impacts from hydrometeors, which are not accounted for. When possible, radiosonde-based w air values were compared to estimates from dual-Doppler methods and from parcel theory. When the radiosondes observed their highest w air values, dual-Doppler methods generally produced 15–20 m s −1 lower w air for the same location, which could be related to the differences in the observing systems’ resolutions. In situ observations within supercell updrafts, which have been limited in recent decades, can be used to improve our understanding and modeling of storm dynamics. This study provides new in situ observations, as well as methods and lessons that could be applied to future field campaigns.more » « less
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